Difference-in-Differences · Policy Evaluation

Goodman-Bacon’s Forbidden Comparisons

A two-way fixed-effects estimate with staggered adoption can combine several 2×2 comparisons, including comparisons that are hard to interpret.

Page 1 of 7 · Big Picture

The big picture: Goodman-Bacon’s Forbidden Comparisons

What comparisons does a TWFE coefficient combine?

Why a policy analyst should care

A TWFE coefficient can combine clean and contaminated two-group comparisons, so its weights and timing comparisons determine whether the average has a defensible meaning.

Follow the idea from the opening question to a practical decision. These are the conceptual moves this module will develop:

1 Question What comparisons does a TWFE coefficient combine?
2 Explore Early and late adopters can be controls
3 Formalize Weighted 2×2 components
4 Transfer Audit the comparison weights

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